Nursing the Economic Miracle Patient Named Kenya
Keywords:
demographics dividends, Dependency ratio, Sex ratio, Total fertility rate
Abstract
Demographics dividends are derived from management of population characteristics. It is a result of complex components and rationales measurable and non-measurable. The Kenyan economy is an economic miracle. The country’s economy has been able to positively respond to almost all the measures incorporated in demographics. Its economic variable relationship is a good case study of the benefits of demographics management as advanced by the UN as countries focus on dependency, productivity, savings investment and social challenges in relation to population characteristics. Analysis of Kenya's demographics variables is carried out using panel data for the period 1960-2020. Results from the analysis show significant resilient in the Kenyan economy with policy injections giving positive results. The study proposes the adoption of a dividend support tool to assist the country to maintain the recorded trajectory away from the contradicting results of most African countries. The findings present new insights that positively support the notion of economic growth derived from population characteristics supported by good governance.
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Bloom & Williamson’s (1998) The world ban k economic review, 12, (3):419-5
Canning, D,Sangeeta R, & Yazbeck, A. S.(2016). Africa's Demographic Transition: Dividend or Disaster? World Bank Publications, (eds.) 214
Chahnazarian, A. (1988). Determinants of the sex ratio at birth: Review of recent literature. Social Biology 35(3–4): 214–235.
Chao, F., Gerland, P., Cook, A.R., & Alkema, L. (2019). Systematic assessment of the sex ratio at birth for all countries and estimation of national imbalances and regional reference levels. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116(19): 9303–9311.
De Boer, A & Hudson, V (2017) Patrilineality, Son Preference, and Sex Selection in South Korea and Vietnam. Population and Development Review, 43 (1).119-147.
Feyrer, J. (2007). Demographics and productivity. The Review of Economics and Statistics 89(1): 100–109.
Garenne, M. (2023) Where Are the Demographic Dividends in Sub-Saharan Africa? World, 4, 612–623.
Guengant, J.P. (2012). How Can We Capitalize on the Demographic Dividend? (Paris: Agence Francaise de Developpement).
Guilmoto, C.Z. (2012). Skewed sex ratios at birth and future marriage squeeze in China and India, 2005‒2100. Demography. 49(1): 77–100.
Human Development Report 2004.
Kenya Demographic and Health Survey 2022 (KDHS 2022)
Lee, R (2003) “The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change,” Journal of Economic Perspectives: 17(4),167-190.
Li,Q (2007) Population aging caused by a rise in the sex ratio at birth Demographic Research: 43,(32)969.
Liu, Kaiyuan & Chen, Lansun. (2008). On a Periodic Time-Dependent Model of Population Dynamics with Stage Structure and Impulsive Effects. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society.
Lofchie, M. F. (1990), Kenya: Still an Economic Miracle? History, 89, (547), 209-212
Loichinger, E, Hammer, B, Prskawetz, Alexia, Freiberger,M, &Sambt ,J (2015)Quantifying Economic Dependency Springer Science Business Media Dordrecht .
Mason, A., et al (2016). Ageing and the changing nature of intergenerational flows: policy challenges and responses. NTA Working Papers. 16-05.
Mester, L. J. (2017). “Demographics and Their Implications for the Economy and Policy.” Speech, Cato Institute’s 35th Annual Monetary Conference: The Future of Monetary Policy - Washington, DC.
Modigliani, F, (1970), “The life-cycle hypothesis and intercountry differences in the saving ratio,” in W. A. Eltis, M. FG. Scott, and J. N. Wolfe, eds., Induction, growth, and trade: essays in honour of Sir Roy Harrod, Oxford. Oxford University Press. 197–225.
Munir, K. and Shahid, F.S.U. (2021), "Role of demographic factors in economic growth of South Asian countries", Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 48 No. 3, pp. 557-570
NCPD (2020), Kenya's demographic dividend roadmap (2020-2030). Nairobi: NCPD.
Nzimande, N. (2023), "Demographic Dynamics of South Africa's Youth and the Implications for Harnessing the Demographic Dividend", Maja, B. and Ngcaweni, B. (Ed.) Youth Development in South Africa: Harnessing the Demographic Dividend (Diverse Perspectives on Creating a Fairer Society), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, 11-26
Ogundari, K. & Awokuse, T. (2018), "Human capital contribution to economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does health status matter more than education". Economic Analysis and Policy, 131-140
Patxot, A & Souto, R (2017). The welfare state and demographic dividends. Demographic, 36 , 1453-1490
Rhonda S. et al., (2009) Family Planning Saves Lives, 4th ed. Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau,
Rocca, C. & Schultes, I. (2020), Africa's youth: Action needed now to support the continent's greatest asset. London: Mo Ibrahim Foundation.
Sanchez-Romeo,M et al (2017) The welfare state and demographic dividends. Demographic Research: 36(48).
Schultz. T. P (2003) “Returns to Women’s Schooling,” in Women’s Education in Developing Countries: Barriers, Benefits and Policy, ed. Elizabeth King and M. Anne Hill (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press,).
Singh, S & Darroch, J (2012) Adding It Up: Costs and Benefits of Contraceptive Services, Estimates for 2012 (New York: Guttmacher Institute,)
Spijker J & Maclnnes, J (2013) Population Ageing: The time bomb that isn't? BMJ: British Medical Journal, 16(347)7933, 20-22
United Nations. (2015). Integrating population issues into sustainable development, including the post-2015 development agenda. In Economic and Social Affairs: A Concise Report. New York: UN.
Wang, Y., Tian, H. and Xu, Y. (2023), "Labour protection, social security contributions and corporate innovation: evidence from China", International Journal of Manpower, 44 (8), 1571-1586
Zhen Z & Qiang L (2020) Population aging caused by a rise in the sex ratio at birth, Demographic Research, 43 (7 - 12)969-992
Published
2026-01-27
How to Cite
Ouma Denis. (2026). Nursing the Economic Miracle Patient Named Kenya . International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research, 5(01), 985-996. https://doi.org/10.63922/ijebir.v5i01.2852
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