The Influence of Macroeconomic Stability On Financial Performance, Credit Risk, And The Resilience of The Indonesian Banking Sector

  • Gregorius Paulus Tahu Mahasaraswati University Denpasar
Keywords: Macroeconomic Stability, ROA, NPL, CAR, Banking Sector

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of macroeconomic stability on financial performance, credit risk, and the resilience of the banking sector in Indonesia. The macroeconomic variables examined include inflation, economic growth, interest rates, and exchange rates. Financial performance is proxied by Return on Assets (ROA), credit risk by Non-Performing Loans (NPL), and banking resilience by the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR). This research employs a quantitative approach using multiple linear regression analysis processed with SPSS software. The results indicate that macroeconomic variables simultaneously have a significant effect on ROA and CAR, but do not significantly affect NPL. Partially, economic growth has a positive and significant effect on ROA, while the exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on CAR. Meanwhile, inflation and interest rates do not show a significant influence on ROA, NPL, or CAR. These findings suggest that macroeconomic conditions play an important role in shaping the performance and resilience of the banking sector in Indonesia.

References

Aini, S. (2024). Pengaruh Pemerintah Terhadap Kredit Usaha Rakyat (KUR) Dalam Mendorong Pertumbuhan UMKM di Indonesia. Pendas: Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Dasar, 9(04), 338–348.
Aisyah, E. N., & Maulida, L. U. (2024). Peran Pembiayaan KUR Mikro Dalam Mendukung Pertumbuhan UMKM di Bank Syariah Indonesia KCP Malang Turen 1. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Manajemen, Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi, 9, 187–196.
Azizah, I. M., Saputri, D. A., Ramadhani, R., & Septiani, F. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Likuiditas, dan Leverage Terhadap Keputusan Hedging untuk Instrumen Derivatif. Jurnal Penelitian Multidisiplin Bangsa, 1(8), 1310–1320.
Ighni, H., & Komariyah, F. (2025). Peran OJK Dalam Menangani Kredit Macet untuk Stabilitas Keuangan Perusahaan: Studi Kasus PT TAB. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, Manajemen, Bisnis Dan Akuntansi, 2(4), 340–350.
Kusumah, R. M., Susilawati, E., Nugraha, M. S. A., Fitria, B. T., Hanawidjaya, R. R., Riauwati, J., & Pratama, A. P. (2026). Bank & Lembaga Keuangan: Sistem, Manajemen, dan Kebijakan dalam Perekonomian Modern. Penerbit Widina.
Lilla, A. (2025). Resiliensi Kinerja Kredit Bank Perekonomian Rakyat di Indonesia (Sebelum dan Setelah Pandemi Covid-19).
Malau, N. A., & Hayati, T. P. T. N. (2026). Efektivitas Kebijakan Moneter Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Riggs: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business, 4(4), 8857–8865.
Margama, A. L., & Prabowo, R. D. (2025). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Profitabilitas Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia. Riggs: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business, 4(2), 910–915.
Ramdani, M. D., Muzaki, M. R., Sanjaya, C., & Syahputra, A. E. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Kredit Perbankan, dan Kurs terhadap Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan di Indonesia Periode 2020--2024. Ikra-Ith Humaniora: Jurnal Sosial Dan Humaniora, 9(3), 847–864.
Setiawan, H. A. (2025). Peran Bank Indonesia dalam Pengendalian Inflasi pada Harga Pasar dan Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan. IAIN Metro.
Sundari, S., Rifai, A., Lopies, Y. M. S., & Ananda, G. C. (2025). Analisis Komprehensif Laporan Keuangan Bank Indonesia dalam Menilai Stabilitas Keuangan. All Fields of Science Journal Liaison Academia and Society, 5(3), 261–270.
Wijayanti, S., Syahdilla, N. T., & Sihite, C. I. B. (2025). Transparansi dan Akuntabilitas Pengelolaan Sumber Dana Perbankan (Tinjauan Hukum Perbankan di Indonesia). Jurnal Magister Ilmu Hukum: Hukum Dan Kesejahteraan, 10(1), 51–67.
Published
2026-06-30
How to Cite
Paulus Tahu, G. (2026). The Influence of Macroeconomic Stability On Financial Performance, Credit Risk, And The Resilience of The Indonesian Banking Sector. International Journal of Education, Vocational and Social Science , 5(03), 2985-3000. https://doi.org/10.63922/ijevss.v5i03.4809